Fired Up Gets Shot Down, Carnahan Still Losing

Every time a questionable poll comes around that deviates from the broader consensus of polls on the Missouri Senate race, it seems like Fired Up wets its pants. The latest poll is from the Missouri Democratic Party,  a highly respected nonpartisan sponsor of polls (or not), which shows Carnahan losing 43:39.

We'd point out that the Missouri Democratic Party made an intentional decision to withhold its methodology for the poll when a vast body of more transparent polling evidence suggests that the gap is actually widening. And they're still coming up with Robin Carnahan losing.

So even if we made the enormous leap of faith to trust a poll where important information is withheld and a pollster who is less credible than others who have done more extensive coverage of the race, we're still within the margin of error of the 7 point odd lead that the nation's two best polling aggregators have come up with.

Patrick Tuohey points to the inane behavior that accompanies Democrat responses to Carnahan polling:

The firm that conducted this latest poll, Global Strategy Group, has done no other survey on this race so they have no trend data; no evidence of a closing gap.  The gap refers to all the previous polls, some of which are shown here, which show Blunt defeating Carnahan handily.  Why would the Democrats endorse the results of these other surveys--many conducted by the Republican Rasmussen firm--unless Carnahan's own internal data matched up?

It takes a very special kind of selective vision to look at all of the data we have available and conclude that Carnahan's fortunes are changing.

Comments

[stlouisgal]

This is just a page from the Democratic playbook. Say it long enough (health care costs will go down with our plan, for instance) and people will start to believe it. It isn't factual and will never happen, but hey, it's worth a try.

At least one Carnahan will be gone. I am hoping BOTH will be shown the door.