A New Survey USA presidential poll is out for Missouri and the news is not good for Barack Obama and worse for Claire McCaskill. The poll compares voter’s preference for Obama versus John McCain in a heads up battle. It goes on to compare the presidential candidates with a list of potential running mates.
In the heads up poll, McCain is beating Obama by seven points, 50%-43%. That has to be devastating news to the Obama camp who must have though their recent post-clinch bounce would extend into Missouri.
McCain won almost every age group and was even tied with Obama for the young voters Obama is supposed to dominate. McCain also loses half as many Republicans (8%) as Obama loses Democrats (16%). McCain even is ahead in the Kansas City area, and only losing in the St; Louis area by 7%. He dominates in the southwest with 70% support.
Survey USA goes on to compare several possible vice presidential picks. With some odd selections (they use New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg as a VP for both sides) the bottom line is that any McCain VP pick continues to keep him ahead.
The biggest news for Missouri political watchers is that Survey USA tests Claire McCaskill as a Vice Presidential running mate for Obama. McCaskill’s name has floated around the last few weeks as a possibility because she could supposedly help deliver Missouri.
But in the Survey USA poll McCaskill actually hurts Obama in Missouri. In the head to head Obama loses by only seven points. With the VP picks of Bloomberg for McCain and Jim Webb for Obama the margin stays at seven. But if it is McCain/Bloomberg and Obama/McCaskill the margin jumps to nine.
The poll tests several similar McCaskill scenarios. In no case does McCaskill's inclusion on the ticket help Obama win.